• Research report

Modelling the impact of reduction in meat and dairy consumption on nutrient intakes and greenhouse gas emissions in children and young people living in Scotland

Content: Research report

Published by:

  • Food Standards Scotland
  • The University of Edinburgh
  • Executive summary table 1 Summary of two most useful simulation scenarios to demonstrate both the achievement of the public health goal for red and red processed meat, and the worst-case scenario of no replacement
  • Executive summary table 2 Summary of percentage of the population below the LRNI for key nutrients among children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland at baseline (2024) and following a reduction in red and red processed meat to achieve a 20% or 35% reduction in the population average “total meat” intake for children and young people, together with a 20% reduction in dairy and no replacement
  • Abbreviations table
  • Table 1 Characteristics of children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland who completed at least one dietary recall, 2024
  • Table 2 Example of hierarchy of food groups evaluated for the food category, ‘milk and milk products’
  • Table 3 Example of hierarchy of food groups evaluated for the food category, ‘meat and meat products’.
  • Table 4 Most commonly reported meat-containing food items within the top five contributing sub food groups to meat consumption among children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland, 2024.
  • Table 5 Daily maximum intake of red and red processed meat required to achieve a 20% or 35% reduction in “total meat”, for the entire population of 2- to 15-year-olds and by age group.
  • Table 6 Summary of simulation scenarios for reducing meat and dairy among children and young people aged 2 to 15 years in Scotland.
  • Table 7 Definition of achieving Scottish Dietary Goals in children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland.
  • Table 8 Summary of percentage of the population below the LRNI for key nutrients among children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland at baseline (2024) and following a reduction in red and red processed meat to achieve a 20% or 35% reduction in “total meat” together with a 20% reduction in dairy and no replacement.
  • Table 9 Summary of percentage of the population below the threshold for biomarkers of nutritional status in NDNS, years 9-11 (2016/17-2018/19).
  • Table 10 Summary of impacts of reducing meat and dairy on the achievement of the Scottish Dietary Goals among children and young people aged 2 to 15 years living in Scotland, 2024.

Acknowledgements

We are grateful to all the families who participated in the survey. Many people contributed to the successful completion of this project. 

Cristina Stewart helped with setting up the survey. 

Graham Horgan of Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland provided statistical advice and carried out the survey weighting. 

Nicky Taylor, Lisa Dixon, Greg Leyden, and staff at Taylor McKenzie Research led the data collection. 

Polly Page, Toni Steer, Birdem Amoutzopoulos, and David Collins from the MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, supported the use of Intake24 for dietary intake assessment and provided statistical advice for implementing the multiple source method. 

Sarah Bierbaum-Williams from the Office of the Chief Statistician, Scottish Government, oversaw the Postcode Address File sampling. 

Staff in the Public Health Nutrition team at Food Standards Scotland, notably Fiona Comrie, Nikki Fernie, Lesley Curtis, and Alana Mcdonald gave guidance on execution of all stages. 

The Advisory Group (Gillian Purdon, Polly Page, Gillian Swan, and Peter Craig) provided advice and support throughout the project.

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